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Original Article

Chronic Opioid Use Following Lumbar Discectomy: Prevalence, Risk Factors, and Current Trends in the United States

Neurospine 2020;17(4):879-887.
Published online: December 31, 2020

1Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA

2Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA

3Department of Anesthesiology, The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA

4Center for Drug Safety and Effectiveness, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA

Corresponding Author Amit Jain https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9983-3365 Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, The Johns Hopkins University, 601 N. Caroline Street, JHOC 5223, Baltimore, MD 21287 E-mail: ajain24@jhmi.edu
• Received: February 27, 2020   • Revised: April 9, 2020   • Accepted: May 3, 2020

Copyright © 2020 by the Korean Spinal Neurosurgery Society

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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Chronic Opioid Use Following Lumbar Discectomy: Prevalence, Risk Factors, and Current Trends in the United States
Neurospine. 2020;17(4):879-887.   Published online December 31, 2020
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Chronic Opioid Use Following Lumbar Discectomy: Prevalence, Risk Factors, and Current Trends in the United States
Neurospine. 2020;17(4):879-887.   Published online December 31, 2020
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Chronic Opioid Use Following Lumbar Discectomy: Prevalence, Risk Factors, and Current Trends in the United States
Image Image
Fig. 1. Cohort selection flowchart.
Fig. 2. Proportion of patients receiving high-dose (≥90 MMED) and very high-dose (≥ 200 MMED) opioid prescriptions in the preoperative, perioperative, and postoperative period surrounding lumbar discectomy. In the preoperative period, 3,105 of patients (58%) received at least one opioid prescription, with 636 of these patients (20%) receiving at least one high-dose opioid prescription (≥ 90 MMED) and 139 of patients (4.5%) receiving at least one very high-dose opioid prescription (≥ 200 MMED). In the perioperative period, 5,111 of patients (96%) received at least one opioid prescription, with 2,217 of these patients (43%) receiving at least one high-dose opioid prescription (≥ 90 MMED) and 302 of patients (5.9%) receiving at least one very high-dose opioid prescription (≥ 200 MMED). In the postoperative period, 2,146 of patients (40%) received at least one opioid prescription, with 461 of these patients (21%) receiving at least one high-dose opioid prescription (≥ 90 MMED) and 129 of patients (6.0%) receiving at least one very high-dose opioid prescription (≥ 200 MMED). MMED, morphine milligram equivalents daily.
Chronic Opioid Use Following Lumbar Discectomy: Prevalence, Risk Factors, and Current Trends in the United States
Characteristic Value
Age (yr) 49 ± 10
Female sex 2,672 (50)
Preoperative opioid use 3,105 (58)
Perioperative opioid use 5,111 (96)
Postoperative opioid use 2,146 (40)
Employment
 Full time 3,220 (57)
 Part time 46 (0.8)
 Retired 562 (9.9)
 Long-term disability 50 (0.9)
 Other/unknown 1,790 (32)
US region
 Northeast 766 (14)
 North Central 1,293 (24)
 South 2,353 (44)
 West 855 (16)
 Unknown 48 (0.9)
Hospital length of stay (day) 2.5 ± 1.9
Comorbidities
 Depression 1,698 (32)
 Anxiety 1,598 (30)
 COPD 877 (17)
 CHF 89 (1.7)
 Hypertension 3,077 (58)
 Myocardial infarction 135 (2.5)
 DM, uncomplicated 74 (1.4)
 DM, complicated 147 (2.8)
 Obesity 1,306 (25)
 Drug abuse 42 (0.79)
 Tobacco use 506 (9.5)
 Osteoporosis 271 (5.1)
Year Overall Chronic postoperative opioid use
Patients receiving an initial prescription ≥90 MMED
Patients receiving an initial prescription ≥200 MMED
Postoperative opioid use duration (day)
No. (%) OR (95% CI) p-value No. (%) B (95% CI) p-value No. (%) B (95% CI) p-value Median (IQR) B (95% CI) p-value
Overall 5,315 1,198 (23) 2,702 (51) 1,255 (24) 98 (15–334)
Year
 2010 473 (8.9) 130 (27) 1 (Reference) - 280 (59) 1 (Reference) - 121 (26) 1 (Reference) - 211 (29–356) 1 (Reference) -
 2011 882 (17) 218 (25) 0.87 (0.67–1.12) 0.282 462 (53) 0.76 (0.61–0.95) 0.024 210 (24) 0.91 (0.70–1.2) 0.455 118 (24–342) -28 (-47 to -10) 0.003
 2012 786 (15) 217 (28) 1.02 (0.78–1.30) 0.944 434 (55) 0.85 (0.68–1.1) 0.171 201 (26) 0.99 (0.77–1.3) 0.976 152 (27–349) -20 (-39 to -0.9) 0.042
 2013 669 (13) 179 (27) 0.97 (0.74–1.26) 0.826 281 (57) 0.91 (0.72–1.2) 0.463 179 (27) 1.1 (0.81–1.4) 0.701 172 (26–348) -16 (-36 to 3.5) 0.112
 2014 1,576 (30) 296 (19) 0.61 (0.48–0.77) < 0.001 743 (47) 0.61 (0.50–0.76) < 0.001 372 (24) 0.91 (0.71–1.1) 0.415 52 (10–304) -62 (-79 to -44) < 0.001
 2015 929 (18) 158 (17) 0.54 (0.41–0.70) < 0.001 402 (43) 0.52 (0.42–0.66) < 0.001 172 (19) 0.66 (0.51–0.87) 0.002 44 (10–294) -63 (-81 to -45) < 0.001
Region Overall Chronic postoperative opioid use
Patients receiving an initial prescription ≥90 MMED
Patients receiving an initial prescription ≥200 MMED
Postoperative opioid use duration (day)
No. (%) OR (95% CI) p-value No. (%) OR (95% CI) p-value No. (%) OR (95% CI) p-value Median (IQR) B (95% CI) p-value
Overall 5,287 1,189 (23) 2,680 (51) 1,246 (24) 99 (16–332)
US region
Northeast 766 (15) 137 (18) 1 (Reference) - 352 (46) 1 (Reference) - 173 (23) 1 (Reference) - 47 (11–285) 1 (Reference) -
North Central 1,293 (25) 292 (23) 1.31 (1.04–1.63) 0.019 653 (51) 1.20 (0.68–2.15) 0.529 288 (22) 1.27 (0.61–2.64) 0.534 86 (17–342) 7.5 (-39–54) 0.753
South 2,353 (45) 543 (23) 1.32 (1.08–1.62) 0.007 1,180 (50) 1.19 (0.67–2.11) 0.557 583 (25) 1.45 (0.70–3.01) 0.322 128 (16–342) 21 (-26–67) 0.384
West 855 (16) 217 (25) 1.55 (1.22–1.96) < 0.001 495 (58) 1.62 (0.91–2.91) 0.104 202 (24) 1.36 (0.65–2.87) 0.413 115 (15–339) 20 (-28–67) 0.417
Variable Univariate analysis
Multivariate analysis
OR (95% CI) p-value OR (95% CI) p-value
Preoperative opioid use 3.8 (3.3–4.5) < 0.001 4.0 (3.4–4.6) < 0.001
30-Day readmission 1.5 (1.2–2.0) 0.002 1.4 (1.0–1.8) 0.029
Age group (yr)
 18–34 Reference 1 Reference
 35–44 1.2 (1.0–1.6) 0.116 1.2 (0.9–1.5) 0.263
 45–54 1.4 (1.1–1.8) 0.005 1.4 (1.1–1.7) 0.010
 44–65 1.1 (0.8–1.3) 0.644 1.0 (0.8–1.3) 0.981
US region
 Northeast Reference 1 Reference
 North Central 1.3 (1.1–1.7) 0.011 1.3 (1.0–1.6) 0.037
 South 1.4 (1.1–1.7) 0.003 1.6 (1.2–2.0) 0.010
 West 1.6 (1.2–2.0) < 0.001 1.6 (1.2–2.0) < 0.001
Female sex 1.0 (0.8–1.1) 0.543 - -
Comorbidities
 Depression 1.9 (1.7–2.2) < 0.001 1.6 (1.4–1.8) < 0.001
 Anxiety 1.9 (1.7–2.2) < 0.001 1.5 (1.3–1.7) < 0.001
 COPD 1.4 (1.2–1.6) < 0.001 1.3 (1.1–1.5) 0.001
 CHF 1.4 (0.9–2.3) 0.131 - -
 Hypertension 1.3 (1.1–1.4) < 0.001 1.2 (1.1–1.4) 0.006
 History of myocardial infarction 0.9 (0.6–1.4) 0.766 - -
 Drug abuse 2.6 (1.4–4.8) 0.002 2.6 (1.3–5.0) 0.006
 Tobacco use 1.5 (1.2–1.8) < 0.001 1.4 (1.2–1.8) 0.001
 DM, uncomplicated 0.8 (0.4–1.4) 0.454 - -
 DM, complicated 0.8 (0.5–1.2) 0.221 - -
 Obesity 1.1 (0.9–1.2) 0.418 - -
 Osteoporosis 0.9 (0.6–1.2) 0.364
Table 1. Characteristics of the study population (N=5,315)

Values are presented as mean±standard deviation or number (%).

COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CHF, congestive heart failure; DM, diabetes mellitus.

Table 2. Temporal trends in opioid prescribing following lumbar discectomy

OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; MMED, morphine milligram equivalents daily; IQR, interquartile range.

Table 3. Regional trends in opioid prescribing following lumbar discectomy

OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; MMED, morphine milligram equivalents daily; IQR, interquartile range.

Table 4. Univariate and multivariate analysis of factors of interest in association with chronic postoperative opioid use following lumbar discectomy

Our multivariate model was significant (p < 0.001, McFadden R2=0.095), and had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.72.

CI, confidence interval; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CHF, congestive heart failure; DM, diabetes mellitus.